Chapter 3 – Time Series

Time Series

    The statistical technique applied to measure the time based data over a period of time is known as time series analysis

Variations in time series

  1. Secular Trend
  • Change come over a long period of time
  • Year to Year fluctuation but there is steady increase in the trend
  • Ex- steady increase in cost of living
  1. Cyclical Fluctuation
  • Cyclic moves do not follow any regular pattern, they are irregular
  • Ex- Business Cycle
  1. Seasonal Variation
  • Ex- Sale of A.C. increase in summer
  1. Irregular Variation
  • The value of the variable is unpredictable, changing in random manner
  • The effect of earthquakes ,flood, wars etc. can not be predictable

 

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